Conjecture 025
Elliptic Realization of Rational Genuine Bianchi Newforms
ConjectureSummary
Fix an imaginary quadratic field K. Among genuine, non-CM, rational Bianchi newforms of parallel weight two and trivial central character, we conjecture that the forms realized by elliptic curves over K have density one when ordered by level norm. The complementary quaternionic-multiplication branch is infinite in some fields but is constrained to squarefull levels; proving density zero nevertheless requires new conductor-aspect counting results.
Abstract
Fix an imaginary quadratic field . Among genuine, non-CM, rational Bianchi newforms of parallel weight two and trivial central character, we conjecture that the forms realized by elliptic curves over have density one when ordered by level norm. The complementary quaternionic-multiplication branch is infinite in some fields but is constrained to squarefull levels; proving density zero nevertheless requires new conductor-aspect counting results.
The realization problem
Fix an imaginary quadratic field . Let be the set of Galois orbits of genuine, non-CM Bianchi newforms over of parallel weight two, trivial central character, rational Hecke field, and level norm at most . Each orbit is counted once. Define
Conjecture 1. If , then
Equivalently, under the standard elliptic/QM Eichler–Shimura dichotomy, the subfamily realizable only by quaternionic-multiplication abelian surfaces has density zero.
The dichotomy itself is conjectural in general. Both branches are allowed by the expected motivic correspondence, but the QM branch imposes additional endomorphisms and should lie on lower-dimensional Shimura-type loci.
Numerical evidence
Among genuine non-CM rational records, have an elliptic realization, have no associated elliptic curve, and remain unresolved. The deepest fixed fields with no unresolved rows give:
| elliptically realized / total | ||
|---|---|---|
Elliptic realizations in the five deepest fixed fields.
The non-elliptic rows occur in small packets at only field–level-norm combinations rather than as a visibly positive fraction of the data.
Known structural constraints
Taylor’s conjectural Eichler–Shimura statement, in the form made explicit by Schembri, predicts that a rational weight-two Bianchi newform corresponds either to an elliptic curve with or to a QM surface with
Schembri constructs genuine division-QM examples, so universal elliptic realization is false.
If a rational non-CM form has a division-QM realization , results of Guitart–Masdeu imply
Consequently
so every such form lies at a squarefull level. There are only squarefull ideals of norm at most , but this alone does not control the number of rational newforms at each level.
An infinite exceptional subfamily
The QM-only subfamily is not finite in at least two fixed fields.
Proposition 2. For and , there are infinitely many genuine, non-CM, rational Bianchi newforms with trivial central character that have a division-QM realization and no elliptic realization.
Proof sketch. Choose one of Schembri’s genuine division-QM forms over and let vary over quadratic Hecke characters of . Then remains rational, of weight two, and of trivial central character. Genuineness and the absence of CM are preserved under quadratic twisting. The corresponding twisted QM surface still realizes .
If admitted an elliptic realization, twisting back by would give an elliptic realization of , contrary to the choice of the seed. Distinct characters give distinct forms, since a collision would give a nontrivial quadratic self-twist. For conductors coprime to the seed level,
The quadratic-extension asymptotic therefore gives a lower bound of order for this twist family. ◻
This does not contradict Conjecture 1: the total number of genuine rational forms may grow faster than .
The remaining counting problem
Let
The conjecture asks for . Three major inputs are missing: the elliptic/QM dichotomy is not known for all rational Bianchi forms; there is no conductor-aspect upper bound for twist-minimal QM systems or for the multiplicity of rational forms at squarefull levels; and there is no suitable lower bound or asymptotic for . In the two fields above, density zero would in particular require growth of the denominator faster than the established exceptional twist family.
References
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Richard Taylor, Representations of Galois Groups Associated to Modular Forms (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-9078-6_36
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Ciaran Schembri, Examples of genuine QM abelian surfaces which are modular (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40993-018-0150-x
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John Cremona, Lassina Dembélé, Ariel Pacetti, Ciaran Schembri, John Voight, On rational Bianchi newforms and abelian surfaces with quaternionic multiplication (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-80914-0_11
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Xavier Guitart, Marc Masdeu, Periods of modular GL2-type abelian varieties and p-adic integration (2018). https://doi.org/10.1080/10586458.2017.1284624
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Alexander D. Rahm, Panagiotis Tsaknias, Genuine Bianchi modular forms of higher level at varying weight and discriminant (2019). https://doi.org/10.5802/jtnb.1067
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Andrew Corbett, An explicit conductor formula for (2019). https://doi.org/10.1216/RMJ-2019-49-4-1093
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David J. Wright, Distribution of Discriminants of Abelian Extensions (1989). https://doi.org/10.1112/plms/s3-58.1.17
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Keisuke Arai, Points on Shimura curves rational over imaginary quadratic fields in the non-split case (2014; revised 2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.1162
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Tyler Genao, Tristan Phillips, Fredderick Saia, Tim Santens, John Yin, Counting points on some genus zero Shimura curves (2025). https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.09400
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Ana Caraiani, James Newton, On the modularity of elliptic curves over imaginary quadratic fields (2023; revised 2025). https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.10509
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Mehmet Haluk Şengün, Arithmetic Aspects of Bianchi Groups (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.6697
Paper edition
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